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Poker: Luck vs Knowledge and Skill

A lot of people seem to think that poker is all luck or mostly luck, which simply isn't true in the large scheme of things. It's true that you cannot control what cards are going to come your way, but you can control how you play the cards that do come your way.

It's also true that you should expect to have about the same amount of so called luck in poker as everyone else after so many thousands of hands. Since you can expect to have about the same luck and same cards as everyone else in the long run, the difference is in how you play your cards.

The more skilled players will win more and lose less with the same cards as a lessor skilled poker player. You have the option of when you want to put more money in the pot and when you want to not put any or anymore in the pot and that is one place where the difference can be made, and is what will make some people win at poker and some lose at poker in the long run.

Since you should expect about the same distribution of cards as anyone else in the long run, the difference lies in the decisions that you make. There are many things you can do to gain an edge on your opponents and make better decisions than they do.

If you flipped coins with someone it would be silly to think that he would get substantially more heads or tails than you after thousands of flips, assuming the coin weighed evenly and that no measures were taken to influence how the coin landed. It's the same with poker. It's silly to think someone else will end up getting a much better run of cards than you do in the long run.

You can expect you cards to even out the same way you can expect the flip of a coin to even out to about half heads and half tails over time. The casinos operates on smaller edges than you will often have in poker, yet they are always coming ahead. Is that luck ? No of course not.

They know that they have an advantage in the long run. When I play poker it's often a lot like me being the house and most of the other players being people that come to play at my private casino.I should also point out that after the last card has been dealt to everyone that chance is no longer involved at all and now it comes down to how well you know your opponents and your wits and experience and being able to fill in all the missing information.

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