March 11, 2005
San Antonio Express-News
Whenever I look down at my hole cards and see pocket jacks in a game of Hold 'Em, I never know which side of the emotion pendulum I should be swaying toward: horror or delight.
Statistically, it is one of the best starting hands in the game. Jacks can hold up against as many as four players with random hands and win over 50percent of the time.
Poker advice publications and professionals advise to aggressively bet with this hand, citing it as a "premium" or "level one" hand. This means it occupies the same space on the ladder of power as a pair of aces, kings or queens.
The mentality is that these hands often don't need any help to remain the best, from beginning to end. An aggressive raise with a quality hand behind it will get a lot of players with potentially dangerous cards such as 8s-6s out of the hand. The raise also allows a good payoff if a few players call your bet, because you'll likely have the best hand at that point.
Then there is the other side of the pendulum. The reality that there are three overcards to a jack and the chances of one of those showing up in the community are nearly 60 percent.
If you don't succeed in getting a lot of players out of the hand pre-flop, you are suddenly in a lot of danger with a wide assortment of cards. Any ace or a king is a serious scare card that may wipe out your chances of holding the best hand if there are more than two players still involved.
Depending on position, the majority of players out there will enter a hand with anything 9 or higher when paired with a king or ace in the hole. There is a little less to worry about with the queen, but that card also brings danger as an overcard. Your best hope is your opponents are holding a smaller pocket pair.
During a recent trip to Las Vegas, I was involved in a tournament at Binion's Horseshoe Casino, where I was fortunate enough to make the final table out of a 90-player field. The table was whittled down to seven, when I was dealt our famous hand of the hour (Jh-Jd) with a modest chip stack.
In a desperate bid to stay alive, the short-stacked player pushed all of her chips in pre-flop. I easily had her covered, and it was an easy call for me to make. However, since I had the jacks, I was terrified of a flop like K-10-4 with any additional players in the pot. I chose to move all of my chips in, which was about 11,000 over the short stack.
There was a caller, and he had me covered by one measly chip, forcing me to almost swallow my toothpick.
Dealer commands us to turn over our cards, and to my surprise, I wasn't against any paired aces or kings. My jacks were the best hand at the time, but I was fighting against the small stack's K-Q - and more importantly - the A-Q held by the player who had me covered. The three overcards gave me only a 40 percent chance to win the hand from that point on.
The flop was good: 8s-4h-10c. The turn was better with a 4d. Then, that cold, cruel lady the Queen of Clubs showed her ugly face on the river. I was out.
Horror, although I don't regret making the move. Sometimes, you just have to gamble.
The lingo
Scare card: A card whose likelihood of improving an existing hand is great.
Short stack: The player at the table with the fewest chips.


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